A good overview of last night's state legislative primaries from MinnPost's Peter Callaghan.
A couple of observations. Somehow, Bluestem doubts that Davids' and Kresha's victories will blunt the criticism from rightward groups like Rocks and Cows of Minnesota and Action for Liberty, but those aren't competitive seats.
I do hope DFLers from across the state unite to keep the open seat in MNHouse 26A, where Sarah Kruger narrowly won last night's primary, as Callaghan reports.
As I noted in Who's funding Minnesota House District 26A's pricey DFL primary? Looks like an expensive general ahead too given GOP cash reserves. last night's Republican winner wasn't spending much of his cash-on-hand on the primary. Expect high spending and high need for volunteer help to keep the seat in the DFL column. I suspect the attacks against her from Republicans in the general election will be much more harsh than the relatively genteel exchanges between the DFLers in the primary.
Wednesday morning analysis from MinnPost
Minnesota Senate race crucial to DFL’s trifecta set; Davids and Kresha hold off GOP challengers
by Peter Callaghan, MinnPost
August 14, 2024It will be up to former state Sen. Ann Johnson Stewart to defend the DFL’s majority in the state Senate.
The civil engineer, who was on the bad end of redistricting in 2022 and didn’t seek reelection, ran and won the nomination for the 45th district seat left open by the resignation of Kelly Morrison, who opted to run for Congress.
Johnson Stewart will go into the November general election against Kathleen Fowke who ran unopposed for the Republicans nomination. Fowke was the GOP nominee in 2022, losing to Morrison 56% to 44%.
The Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee, the state legislative campaign branch of the Democratic National Committee, quickly put the 45th Senate seat on its target map as one of a relative handful of state legislative chambers that are in reach or at risk for Democrats. The Minnesota House is already on the target list for the national group.
Johnson Stewart defeated first-time candidate Emily Reitan in the district that surrounds Lake Minnetonka. GOP primary voters cast 2,574 votes for Fowke.
The 45th is the only Senate seat on the ballot this year, as the rest of the Senate members are in the middle of four-year terms won in 2022. But because the Senate is currently tied 33-33 due to Morrison’s resignation, this one election will determine majority control. A GOP win would end the DFL trifecta — the governor’s office, the House and the Senate — won in 2022. It was that trifecta that allowed the DFL to pass sweeping legislation including paid family leave, abortion rights, child tax credit expansion and recreational cannabis.
While the DFL holds the state House by four seats, that majority is also at risk in November because all 134 House seats are on ballots statewide. Despite that number, there were only 22 contested primaries Tuesday night.
Three Republican incumbents faced fierce intra-party challengers Tuesday, and one lost. Rep. Brian Johnson, R-Cambridge, lost by a two-to-one margin to GOP challenger James “Jimmy” Gordon in District 28A.
But Rep. Greg Davids, the Preston Republican and former Taxes Committee Chair, held off Gary Steuart in District 26B by 4.5 percentage points to win a chance at a 17th term.
And Rep. Ron Kresha, R-Little Falls won nomination for a 7th term over Diane Webb Skilling in District 10A.
House Speaker Melissa Hortman said Wednesday she was happy to have the general election fields set and said she was optimistic about holding the DFL majority in both the House and the Senate.
"There was a tremendous advantage for incumbency and for candidates who work hard in the field, and we're very good at that and plan to keep doing that," the Brooklyn Park lawmaker said. And she said she expects DFL candidates to be helped by top-of-ticket races for president and U.S. Senate.
"When you look at Royce White vs. Amy Klobuchar as the first race a person is going to vote on, the leading Republican candidate is essentially a goofball compared to a serious senator who is bipartisan, pragmatic, who is interested in getting things done," Hortman said. "Her work-ethic narrative is super helpful for our candidates."
And while Hortman said she thinks the DFL hold on the 45th Senate seat is likely, she knows Republicans will spend a lot of money there.
"In a way I hope they throw millions and millions there because they have to make choices about where to spend money, and Johnson Stewart is going to win regardless of how much they spend," Hortman said. "We're going to have some close races in the House."
MinnPost left a message Wednesday seeking reaction from House Minority Leader Lisa Demuth, R-Cold Spring.
Other House primary results with implications for November and the narrow DFL majority were:
61A: This is the Minneapolis seat being vacated by Rep. Frank Hornstein and the candidate he endorsed, Katie Jones, won a three-person DFL primary over Will Stancil and Isabel Rolfes. While there is a Green Party candidate, Toya Lopez, there is no GOP candidate and Jones is likely to win the seat in November.
8A: The open seat created by DFL Rep. Liz Olson’s decision to step down had a primary between two Johnsons: Peter and Jordon. Peter Johnson won easily and will face unopposed GOP candidate Mark McGrew. All three live in Duluth.
26A: A seat held by DFLer Gene Pelowski of Winona since 1987 is open with his retirement and drew primaries on both sides. In the GOP primary, Aaron Repinski easily surpassed S. Jame Doerr. On the DFL side, Sarah Kruger had a narrow win over Dwayne Voegli.
38A: Another DFL retirement — Rep. Michael Nelson of Brooklyn Park — created contested primaries in both the DFL and GOP. Among the Republicans Brad Olson easily bested Yelena Kurdyumova. On the DFL side Huldah Hiltsley had a narrow win over Wynfred Russell.
41A: In 2022, Republican Mark Wiens defeated DFLer Pat Driscoll by 128 votes. Wiens has now decided to run for Washington County commissioner, and this now one of just a handful of Races to Watch. The GOP has a primary between Grayson McNew and Wayne Johnson and Johnson held a narrow lead. The winner will face off against Lucia Wroblewski in what remains a true swing district along the St. Croix River.
This article first appeared on MinnPost and is republished here under a Creative Commons license.
Photo: Minnesota State Capitol Credit: MinnPost photo by Peter Callaghan.
Related posts
- Watch the July 30 Winona League of Women Voters MN House of Representatives District 26A Primary Forum
- Who's funding Minnesota House District 26A's pricey DFL primary? Looks like an expensive general ahead too given GOP cash reserves
- Incumbent Davids loses MN House District 26B GOP endorsement to Fillmore County Chair.
- Update: Post Bulletin provides more details on Greg Davids losing Republican endorsement
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